CYKLICZNOŚĆ W TEORIACH LUDNOŚCIOWYCH
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Date
1998
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Wydział Prawa i Administracji UAM
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PERIODICITY IN POPULATIONAL THEORIES
Abstract
Some characteristic concepts attempting to explain a mechanism of demographic transformations
were presented in the article. All of them have exponed the phemomenon of periodicity as
a determinant of population development. Changes in numeral level of population have been explained
with wars or pests (G. Bouthoul, W. Able, E. Rosset, A. Lòsch), detections were also made
to find out in demography pre-causes of some social phenomenons (J. C. Russel), and some other
conceptions are grown on the groundwork of biological ideas (C. Gini, R. Pearl). The attempts
made up to the present to find out some regularity of population increase depending on successive
phases of development of this process have all failed. Theories were built on a basis of concrete
sources of materials which were incomplete as a rule and, above all, incomparable and, as such, it
led to distorted results. Fluctuations within the process of population reproduction had therefore
various forms. No one from the theories appealing to periodicity does explain mechanism that
generates increase in the population number.
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Ruch Prawniczy, Ekonomiczny i Socjologiczny 60, 1998, z. 3-4, s. 351-360