Z zagadnień analizy i prognoz ludności zawodowo czynnej
Loading...
Date
1968
Authors
Advisor
Editor
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Wydział Prawa i Administracji UAM
Title alternative
On the Problems of Analysis and Prognosis of a Population Economically Active
Abstract
The numerical relation of people economically active to the whole population
is influenced by many factors which can be differentiated into: demographic, social
and economic. To the first group, among others, belong the structure of
population according to sex;, age and civilian status, level of fertility and mortality
and intensity of the immigration movement. Important among social factors are
the relations and conditions of commencement and conclusion of economical activity:
years at school, resignation from work of employed women, health, invalidism,
absency and the pension system..
By applying the correlation calculation and regression equation it is possible
to investigate the impact power of the factors enumerated on the level of economical
activity. Such investigations should be conducted separately for both
sexes. During examinations of men in Yugoslavia, 20 districts were differentiated
and three different explanations taken into account: percentage of men economically
active in relation to the male population, percentage of men economically
active in agriculture, percentages of country youth in the ages of 15—19 in relation
to all the youth of this age. The multiple correlation coefficient obtained
was R=0,97.
Investigation of the level and factors shaping he level of economical activity
facilitates a prognosis of the number of population economically active. Among
the many methods predicting this population of great significance are: the analytical
method based on a hypothesis of fertility, mortality and migration; mathematical
method constituting extrapolation, the graph of transient changes in economically
active population, methods utilizing data of factors influencing the level
of economical activity, including the regression method.
Description
Sponsor
Digitalizacja i deponowanie archiwalnych zeszytów RPEiS sfinansowane przez MNiSW w ramach realizacji umowy nr 541/P-DUN/2016
Keywords
Citation
Ruch Prawniczy, Ekonomiczny i Socjologiczny 30, 1968, z. 2, s. 189-198