Rozwój gospodarczo-społeczny Polski w latach 1971 - 1975 (Analiza ekonometryczna)
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Date
1974
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Wydział Prawa i Administracji UAM
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Abstract
The subject of the analysis is a problem of the theory of growth and econometric
models. The concept of a complex analysis of the development of the Polish
economy in 1971 - 1975, namely a model of dynamic equilibrium, is presented.
The time horizon of the model has been divided into five shorter periods of time,
each one year long, called stages. There was elaborated a macroeconomic multistage
mathematical models in which are considered the effects of three basic factors
of growth, namely: the amount of capital invested, the degree of modernization
of the production apparatus and the "human capital", on individual components
of the national income in various stages and in all the horizon. The "human
capital" is understood as the potential of education, science, technical progress,
health care, sport, tourism, rest, culture and arts accumulated over a certain period
of time as a result of the activity of a society in the nonmaterial sphere of production.
The subject matter of the paper is the optimization of production — financial
flows in the national economy using a multistage transportation problem. As parameters
of the model there have been assumed the components of the produced national
income (amortization, wage fund, profit and import), called input, the components
of the national income distributed (consumption, investments, export and
inventories), called output and the coefficients of efficiency of input. Decision variables
are the production-financial flows from the input funds to the output funds.
The objective function is the minimization of the total social cost of economic activities
over the whole time horizon. It is assumed that the model has been subjected
to balance constraints formulated in the paper.
From the analysis of the optimum solution it results that in the years 1971-1975
there will exist additional possibilities of a better utilization of productive resources
and capacities of the national economy, particularly possibilities of raising the
wage fund, the consumption, the investment outlays and the export and possibilities,
of decreasing the inventories.
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Digitalizacja i deponowanie archiwalnych zeszytów RPEiS sfinansowane przez MNiSW w ramach realizacji umowy nr 541/P-DUN/2016
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Citation
Ruch Prawniczy, Ekonomiczny i Socjologiczny 36, 1974, z. 2, s. 137-163
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ISBN
ISSN
0035-9629