Koniunktura w polskim przemyśle przetwórczym z perspektywy wahań gospodarek wysoko rozwiniętych
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Wydział Prawa i Administracji UAM
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Boom in Polish processing industry from the point of view of highly developed economies' fluctuations
Abstract
The article deals with problems connected with researches on conjuncture in Poland and
presents corresponding results of research on characteristic features of conjunctural fluctuations
within Polish manufacturing industry
Firstly, some general issues concerning the research on conjuncture have been presented. And
so - the origins of conjuncture analysis on the world and its contemporary trends are discussed.
Then the respective methods used nowadays in highly developed economies have been presented.
Special attention was drawn to a method of conjunctural test because the indices constructed
thanks to it served as a basis for the research work. Successively - conjunctural fluctuations
presently confronted have been characterized and next compared with classical fluctuations which
took place before World War II.
Next part of the article introduces in problems of conjunctural analyses in Poland. In relation
with increased demand for results of conjunctural fluctuations measurement within the Polish
economy - an examination of their character was made by means of qualitative indices of conjunctural
test for manufacturing industry. Because of the fact that only one sector of national economy
was subject to such an examination - the impact of fluctuations within this industry on the whole
of economic conjuncture in the country was presented.
Then the empiric part of the research work was described.The research methods used were
discussed and the results obtained this way were presented.
Thanks to such a procedure a preliminary evaluation of the state of conjuncture in Polish
manufacturing industry was made and, finally, a comparison with fluctuations taking place in
contemporary highly developed economies was presented.
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Digitalizacja i deponowanie archiwalnych zeszytów RPEiS sfinansowane przez MNiSW w ramach realizacji umowy nr 541/P-DUN/2016
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Ruch Prawniczy, Ekonomiczny i Socjologiczny, 59, 1997, z. 2, s. 111-125.