Ceny mięsa na rynku światowym i ich wpływ na polski eksport

Abstract

The prices of beef and cattle on the markets of Italy and Western Germany were analyzed in this paper over the period of 1950—1964. This analysis constitutes a basis for determining the prospects of the development up to 1970. The nominal and real prices were taken into consideration. There is a reasonable rising tendency for cattle prices on the Italian market. This market shows a considerable increase of demand for beef. The production has a rising tendency which will be maintained probably over the next years. These reasons and the advancing integration process of the Common Market are limiting to some extent the possibilities of Polish export. However, this export will have a chance to develop under the condition of further improvement of its quality. The rising price tendency has also been observed in Western Germany, but it is much slower than in Italy. The Western Germany's market sets higher requirements, offers lower prices and presents potentially a lower import demand for cattle and beef. However, at the same time this market is less vulnerable to downward price movements. Thus, it may present an aditional outlet for Polish cattle and beef export.