ПОСТСОВЕТСКОЕ СОДРУЖЕСТВО (СНГ). ОСТАЛИСЬ ЛИ РЕСУРСЫ ДЛЯ НОВОЙ РЕИНТЕГРАЦИИ?
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Date
2018
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Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Nauk Politycznych i Dziennikarstwa Uniwersytetu im. Adama Mickiewicza w Poznaniu
Title alternative
THE FORMER SOVIET UNION (CIS). WHETHER THERE ARE ANY NEW RESOURCES FOR REINTEGRATION?
Abstract
В предлагаемой статье авторы задались целью рассмотреть вопрос: остались ли у Содру-
жества Независимых Государств (СНГ) ресурсы для новой реинтеграции. Вопрос этот
поставлен уже давно лидерами и политическими элитами стран-членов СНГ, историей
становления и развития Содружества, специалистами и экспертами, внутренними и вне-
шними условиями и обстоятельствами, связанными в самых невероятных комбинациях
с прошлым, настоящим и будущим СНГ. Решали задачу по классификации и анализу име-
ющейся в открытом доступе информации: документов, событий и фактов, представлений
и воззрений лидеров и элит, экспертов и специалистов. Такая широкая задача имеет су-
щественное ограничение – только политологический взгляд на события, факты, оценки
и суждения. Результаты исследования выражены в следующих терминах: а) настоящее
и будущее СНГ находится в тисках противоречия между благоприятными для эффек-
тивного развития стран природно-материальными и человеческими ресурсами, с одной
стороны, и устойчивыми пороками и слабостями политического правления и управления
– с другой; между естественными интересами и желаниями народов стран-содружест-
ва развивать интеграцию с пользой для общего блага и по своему рациональными олигархически-элитными запросами и эгоистичной политикой, объективно ведущих лишь
к извлечению прибыли любыми способами; б) к настоящему времени СНГ, несмотря на
ободряющие заявления со стороны лидеров и части политической элиты, стоит на поро-
ге системного кризиса как следствия некритической и запоздалой реакции на причины
кризиса и неадекватных внутренним и внешним вызовам реакций и руководства России,
и лидеров и элит ряда стран-членов СНГ; в) построение обновленной и эффективной сис-
темы отношений в рамках СНГ во многом будет зависеть от уровня и качества изменений
в политико-экономическом сегменте Российской Федерации и других стран Содружества;
г) признаки имперско-силовой модели поведения России на постсоветском пространстве,
усиливая конфликтогенность политических процессов в рамках Содружества, показы-
вают возможности как разрушения СНГ, так и актуальность замены имперски-силовой
политики на имперско-духовную и просвещенную; СНГ еще актуально-политическое
понятие, постепенно обретающее значение и смыслы сугубо исторического понятия, ко-
торое в своей трансформации остается ресурсом и потенциальным основанием рождения
новой организации – Большой Евразии с включением в него всех государств Содружес-
тва и региона.
In the proposed article, the authors set out to consider whether the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) still has the resources for a new reintegration. This question has been raised for a long time by the leaders and political elites of the CIS member States, the history of the formation and development of the Commonwealth, experts and experts, internal and external conditions and circumstances related to the most incredible combinations with the past, present and future of the CIS. We solved the problem of classification and analysis of information available in the public domain: documents, events and facts, representations and views of leaders and elites, experts and specialists. Such a broad task has a significant limitation-only a political view of events, facts, assessments and judgments. Such a broad task has a significant limitationonly a political view of events, facts, assessments and judgments. The results of the study are expressed in the following terms: a) the present and future of the CIS is in the grip of a contradiction between the favorable for the effective development of the countries’ natural, material and human resources, on the one hand, and the stable vices and weaknesses of political governance and governance, on the other; between the natural interests and desires of the peoples of the Commonwealth countries to develop integration for the benefit of the common good and in their rational oligarchic elite demands and selfish policies that objectively lead only to profit by any means; b) to date, the CIS, despite encouraging statements from the leaders and part of the political elite, is on the verge of a systemic crisis as a consequence of a non-critical and delayed reaction to the causes of the crisis and inadequate internal and external challenges reactions and leadership of Russia, and the leaders and elites of a number of CIS member countries; c) the construction of an updated and effective system of relations within the CIS will largely depend on the level and quality of changes in the political and economic segment of the Russian Federation; g) the signs of the Imperial power of the model of behaviour of Russia in the former Soviet Union, increasing the conflict potential of the political processes in the Commonwealth, show the possibility of the destruction of the CIS, and the urgency of replacing Imperial-the Imperial power politics, the spiritual and the enlightened; the CIS is still relevant-political concept, gradually acquiring value and meaning purely historical concept, which in its transformation remains a resource and a potential birth of a new organization – greater Eurasia with the inclusion of all States of the Commonwealth and the region.
In the proposed article, the authors set out to consider whether the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) still has the resources for a new reintegration. This question has been raised for a long time by the leaders and political elites of the CIS member States, the history of the formation and development of the Commonwealth, experts and experts, internal and external conditions and circumstances related to the most incredible combinations with the past, present and future of the CIS. We solved the problem of classification and analysis of information available in the public domain: documents, events and facts, representations and views of leaders and elites, experts and specialists. Such a broad task has a significant limitation-only a political view of events, facts, assessments and judgments. Such a broad task has a significant limitationonly a political view of events, facts, assessments and judgments. The results of the study are expressed in the following terms: a) the present and future of the CIS is in the grip of a contradiction between the favorable for the effective development of the countries’ natural, material and human resources, on the one hand, and the stable vices and weaknesses of political governance and governance, on the other; between the natural interests and desires of the peoples of the Commonwealth countries to develop integration for the benefit of the common good and in their rational oligarchic elite demands and selfish policies that objectively lead only to profit by any means; b) to date, the CIS, despite encouraging statements from the leaders and part of the political elite, is on the verge of a systemic crisis as a consequence of a non-critical and delayed reaction to the causes of the crisis and inadequate internal and external challenges reactions and leadership of Russia, and the leaders and elites of a number of CIS member countries; c) the construction of an updated and effective system of relations within the CIS will largely depend on the level and quality of changes in the political and economic segment of the Russian Federation; g) the signs of the Imperial power of the model of behaviour of Russia in the former Soviet Union, increasing the conflict potential of the political processes in the Commonwealth, show the possibility of the destruction of the CIS, and the urgency of replacing Imperial-the Imperial power politics, the spiritual and the enlightened; the CIS is still relevant-political concept, gradually acquiring value and meaning purely historical concept, which in its transformation remains a resource and a potential birth of a new organization – greater Eurasia with the inclusion of all States of the Commonwealth and the region.
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Keywords
СНГ, история развития СНГ, интеграция в СНГ, реинтеграция СНГ, CIS, history of development of the CIS integration in the CIS, the reintegration of the CIS
Citation
Przegląd Strategiczny, 2018, nr 11, s. 157-172.
Seria
ISBN
ISSN
2084-6991