Współczesny kryzys społeczno-polityczny na Ukrainie jako przykład cykliczności (chroniczności?) procesów politycznych
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Date
2012
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Wydawnictwo Naukowe WNPiD UAM w Poznaniu
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The current socio-political crisis in Ukraine as an example of the cyclical (chronic?) nature of political processes
Abstract
The objective of scientific forecasting is to present the most probable course of
an analyzed phenomenon, taking into account the direction and dynamics of its development.
In the course of making forecasts one endeavors to determine the conditions
providing for the evolution of this phenomenon. Twenty-something years of an
independent Ukraine is decidedly too short a period to facilitate responsible hypothesizing
on the development of internal and external situation of this country, but
some suppositions are justified. On account of the limitations of this paper the author
analyzes only selected events from the recent history of Ukraine.
The analysis does not answer the question of whether the recurring crises in
Ukraine result primarily from phenomena that cyclically occur in a democracy (i.e.
elections), and are simply inherent in it or not. Alternatively, when the chronic nature
of a crisis (not: crises) is assumed, it may be concluded that as Ukraine emerges
‘unscathed’ from each stage of the crisis it evolves towards a new, more advanced
phase, in consistence with Kondratiev’s theories of economic and political cycles.
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Keywords
Ukraina, kryzys społeczno - polityczny
Citation
Środkowoeuropejskie Studia Polityczne, 2012, nr 3, s.197-214
Seria
ISBN
ISSN
1731-7517